Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula or Flávio wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $14,311 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xdf80476% win rate

Total

$14,311

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,736 @ 79¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $10,575 @ 80¢
Lula or Flávio wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter