Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula wins, Flávio loses”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $17,105 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x819df70% win rate

Total

$17,105

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $9,415 @ 69¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $7,690 @ 64¢
Lula wins, Flávio loses — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter