Cross-Market Thesis

“Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $21,320 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xc301c70% win rate

Total

$21,320

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $15,346 @ 62¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $5,974 @ 77¢
Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter