Cross-Market Thesis

“Neither Flávio nor Lula wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $17,992 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x22e4259% win rate

Total

$17,992

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,148 @ 16¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $16,844 @ 85¢
Neither Flávio nor Lula wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter