Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran ceasefire will collapseโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?, US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?, US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,740 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
    $1,485 @ 55ยข
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
    $2,052 @ 44ยข
  3. 3US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    $5,203 @ 58ยข
Iran ceasefire will collapse โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter