Cross-Market Thesis

“GOP state-loss scenario won’t happen”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?, Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,329 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
    $1,079 @ 87¢
  2. 2Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
    $2,250 @ 89¢
GOP state-loss scenario won’t happen — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter