Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?, Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,103 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x7c3db52% win rate

Total

$3,103

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 18¢
  2. 2Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 21, 2026?
    $1,303 @ 28¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter