Cross-Market Thesis

Hormuz lift deadline arbitrage

This trader is expressing a view that Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?, Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?, Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $29,393 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xa022b71% win rate

Total

$29,393

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
    $7,549 @ 60¢
  2. 2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
    $2,853 @ 26¢
  3. 3Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
    $1,381 @ 13¢
  4. 4Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
    $15,720 @ 62¢
  5. 5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
    $1,890 @ 27¢
Hormuz lift deadline arbitrage — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter