Cross-Market Thesis

US won’t confirm aliens

This trader is expressing a view that Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?, Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? are correlated outcomes, committing $59,605 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
    $38,906 @ 86¢
  2. 2Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
    $20,699 @ 89¢
US won’t confirm aliens — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter