Cross-Market Thesis

Lula wins 2026 Brazil election

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,977 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xc7e5381% win rate

Total

$3,977

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $2,000 @ 45¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,977 @ 27¢
Lula wins 2026 Brazil election — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter