Cross-Market Thesis

Lula loses; Flávio Bolsonaro wins

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $28,027 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xfb51470% win rate

Total

$28,027

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $20,232 @ 59¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $7,796 @ 33¢
Lula loses; Flávio Bolsonaro wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter