Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran ceasefire date arbitrage”

This trader is expressing a view that Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?, Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,186 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xfc2f482% win rate

Total

$16,186

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
    $2,306 @ 27¢
  2. 2Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
    $1,280 @ 16¢
  3. 3Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
    $2,040 @ 68¢
  4. 4Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
    $3,600 @ 90¢
  5. 5Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
    $6,960 @ 87¢