Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran agreement after May deadlineโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,798 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
    $3,650 @ 83ยข
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $2,508 @ 66ยข
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $2,640 @ 88ยข
Iran agreement after May deadline โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter