Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?, , US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $9,685 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x31c5185% win rate

Total

$9,685

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
    $1,599 @ 27¢
  2. 20x3c6bcb7d…
    $4,400 @ 0¢
  3. 3US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
    $3,686 @ 40¢