Cross-Market Thesis

Paraguay won't beat United States

This trader is expressing a view that Will United States win on 2026-06-12?, Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?, Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? are correlated outcomes, committing $515,556 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x2c33562% win rate

Total

$515,556

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
    $177,803 @ 47¢
  2. 2Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
    $6,292 @ 30¢
  3. 3Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
    $331,460 @ 77¢
Paraguay won't beat United States — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter