Cross-Market Thesis

Iran closure timing mispriced

This trader is expressing a view that Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?, Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?, Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $91,540 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xbaa2b64% win rate

Total

$91,540

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
    $2,211 @ 74¢
  2. 2Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
    $5,595 @ 73¢
  3. 3Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
    $1,599 @ 39¢
  4. 4Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
    $79,714 @ 80¢
  5. 5Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
    $2,420 @ 89¢
Iran closure timing mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter