Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran text released by June 16”

This trader is expressing a view that Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?, Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,000 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xb476d58% win rate

Total

$5,000

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
    $2,000 @ 53¢
  2. 2Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
    $3,000 @ 88¢
US-Iran text released by June 16 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter