Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œHormuz transit remains severely disruptedโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?, Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?, Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,918 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
    $1,659 @ 84ยข
  2. 2Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
    $1,274 @ 71ยข
  3. 3Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
    $1,985 @ 88ยข
Hormuz transit remains severely disrupted โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter