Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo Ukraine ceasefire before Septemberโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?, Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,165 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
    $1,584 @ 88ยข
  2. 2Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
    $2,581 @ 89ยข
No Ukraine ceasefire before September โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter