Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula or Flávio will win”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,580 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x3dca884% win rate

Total

$5,580

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,897 @ 54¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,683 @ 58¢
Lula or Flávio will win — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter