Cross-Market Thesis

Russia-Ukraine talks won’t happen by August

This trader is expressing a view that Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?, Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,440 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
    $3,176 @ 77¢
  2. 2Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
    $1,264 @ 57¢
Russia-Ukraine talks won’t happen by August — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter