Part of: Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether official representatives of Russia and Ukraine will hold a diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market’s available smart-money signal shows a 94% winner scaling into No, with $3,176 in tracked smart money and one signal recorded.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,176.

Categories: putin, Russia, Geopolitics, Ukraine, zelensky, zelenskyy

Notable Trades

94% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $3,176 to an existing No position in a thin, wide-spread market.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 276 resolved trades and earned about $205,000.
  • They added $3,176 to an existing No position, bringing their investment in No to roughly $7,772.
  • The trade was large relative to recent volume, accounting for 375% of the flagged 24-hour volume amid a 7-point spread.

$3,176 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c98...f4f4 Outcome 99872040, $5,596 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 99872040, $4,000 (49% win rate)
  3. 0xc932...e6a5 Outcome 99872040, $3,837 (68% win rate)
  4. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 99872040, $3,256
  5. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 99872040, $2,000
  6. 0xe6fd...8bc3 Outcome 99872040, $1,090 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x1580...2758 Outcome 99872040, $1,000
  8. 0xacde...d1a9 Outcome 99872040, $914
  9. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 99872040, $689
  10. 0x8ce8...fa08 Outcome 99872040, $541

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Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

8dRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?$3,176 tracked1 signalputinRussiaGeopoliticsUkrainezelenskyzelenskyy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
81¢
63¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

36d ago

$3,176 on No at 77¢

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