Cross-Market Thesis

Hong won’t win by those margins

This trader is expressing a view that Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?, Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,814 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xb1ca960% win rate

Total

$4,814

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
    $1,540 @ 39¢
  2. 2Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?
    $3,274 @ 89¢
Hong won’t win by those margins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter