Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula defeats Flávio Bolsonaro”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $12,178 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xeb6f073% win rate

Total

$12,178

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $5,585 @ 55¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $6,592 @ 65¢
Lula defeats Flávio Bolsonaro — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter