Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran talks won't happen soon”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,036 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

0x9d84...1344

Total

$5,036

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
    $1,579 @ 33¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
    $3,457 @ 79¢
US-Iran talks won't happen soon — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter