Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula and Flávio both win”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,346 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,555 @ 31¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $4,791 @ 35¢
Lula and Flávio both win — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter