Cross-Market Thesis

“Neither Lula nor Flávio wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,636 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xd24b979% win rate

Total

$2,636

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,416 @ 71¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,220 @ 61¢
Neither Lula nor Flávio wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter