Cross-Market Thesis

“Lula or Flávio wins Brazil”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $49,174 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x6db9881% win rate

Total

$49,174

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $46,707 @ 88¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $2,466 @ 37¢
Lula or Flávio wins Brazil — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter