Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?, , US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? are correlated outcomes, committing $9,696 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x2525755% win rate

Total

$9,696

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
    $1,805 @ 72¢
  2. 20x3c6bcb7d…
    $3,400 @ 0¢
  3. 3US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
    $4,491 @ 18¢