Cross-Market Thesis

“Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $29,164 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x6575775% win rate

Total

$29,164

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $27,767 @ 60¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $1,397 @ 62¢
Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter