Cross-Market Thesis

“Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $10,150 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xc6dd770% win rate

Total

$10,150

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $6,250 @ 62¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,900 @ 78¢
Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter