Trader_0x4ae53 is a Silver-tier Polymarket trader who has generated -$131 in losses with a 72% win rate across $10,094 invested on Polymarket.
0x4ae53924e9a6b86293305cdf26d26bd094a56079
P&L
-$131
Win Rate
72%
Markets
50
W/L
28/11
Flagged
0x
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes · Entry 5¢ → 0¢
$865
-$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Yes · Entry 90¢ → 100¢
$100
-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
Yes · Entry 97¢ → 100¢
$17
+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No · Entry 95¢ → 100¢
$1,600
-$20
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
Yes · Entry 3¢ → 0¢
$400
-$4
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?
No · Entry 96¢ → 93¢
$21
-$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?
No · Entry 90¢ → 100¢
$20
+$0
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
No · Entry 84¢ → 100¢
$60
-$6
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
No · Entry 91¢ → 78¢
$50
-$7
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
No · Entry 90¢ → 100¢
$201
-$22
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes · Entry 6¢ → 0¢
$101
-$2
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes · Entry 89¢ → 0¢
$51
-$1
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
No · Entry 91¢ → 100¢
$51
-$1
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
Yes · Entry 89¢ → 100¢
$91
-$0
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
No · Entry 91¢ → 100¢
$51
-$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Yes · Entry 8¢ → 0¢
$1
-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes · Entry 93¢ → 100¢
$400
+$0
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes · Entry 91¢ → 0¢
$51
-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
Yes · Entry 4¢ → 0¢
$477
-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes · Entry 8¢ → 8¢
$206
-$2