Sharp bettor buying Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A proven profitable bettor with a strong edge bought Yes at 34¢ on a fast-moving market, making this a reasonable sharp-flow signal despite the modest bet size.
Total
$1,377
Trades
1
Win Rate
19%
Wallet P&L
+$116,195
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved bets
- They bought at 34¢, a low price that fits a wallet whose average winning entry is 36¢
- The market has been moving fast, up 17 points in a day and 30 points in a week
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 34¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 1:32 PM