3-wallet macro pile-in
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three experienced wallets piled into Yes as this Fed Chair market ripped 30 points higher, a meaningful coordinated move in a relatively thin book.
Total
$7,570
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.6k as Yes jumped about 30 points in one burst.
- Two of the wallets have traded 1,000+ resolved markets and are solidly profitable, including one up $274k lifetime.
- The order book is thin for this size, with only $9.4k liquidity and a 13-point spread, so this buying showed real conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 56¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 2:18 PM