85% win-rate geopolitical bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
A highly profitable wallet with an 85% win rate is making a fresh cross-market event bet, buying No at 86¢ in a geopolitically driven market despite only a modest composite score.
Total
$1,290
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $415k lifetime.
- They bought No at 86¢, a high-confidence position that matches the market's current 85% pricing.
- They've also bet related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 6:27 PM