85% win-rate event bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate bought No at 86¢ in a meaningful event-driven market, making this a credible sharp follow signal despite the modest size.
Total
$1,118
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$415,537
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $415k lifetime
- They trade across 35 events and 81 related markets, which points to a repeatable event-trading edge
- They bought No at 86¢ while the market still shows 85%, a high-confidence stance in a real news-driven market
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 9:08 PM