Proven cross-market winner

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 620 resolved bets and a strong positive P&L is taking a fresh $1.5k position on No after a sharp market selloff, making this worth surfacing despite the modest single-trade size.
Total
$1,473
Trades
1
Win Rate
67%
Wallet P&L
+$258,487
Analysis
- This bettor has 620 resolved bets, wins 67% of the time, and is up about $258k lifetime.
- They have traded 124 markets across 71 related events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 61¢ after this market fell about 20 points in a week, signaling conviction that Anthropic is still overpriced.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 61¢
Detected April 24, 2026 at 9:08 PM