Part of: Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,155.

Categories: Tech, Math, Big Tech, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, AI

Notable Trades

3-wallet Anthropic surge

Three wallets piled nearly $20k into Anthropic Yes during a huge volume spike and helped push the market from the mid-50s to 90%, signaling strong coordinated conviction in a still relatively shallow book.

Three wallets bought nearly $20k on the same side as volume jumped 139x and the price ran from 56¢ to 90¢
One bettor has made 1,000 resolved bets and is up about $291k, giving this cluster at least one proven profitable participant
The market only has about $10.5k of liquidity, so this size likely reflects real conviction rather than routine flow

$19,742 on Yes

Proven cross-market winner

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 620 resolved bets and a strong positive P&L is taking a fresh $1.5k position on No after a sharp market selloff, making this worth surfacing despite the modest single-trade size.

This bettor has 620 resolved bets, wins 67% of the time, and is up about $258k lifetime.
They have traded 124 markets across 71 related events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
They bought No at 61¢ after this market fell about 20 points in a week, signaling conviction that Anthropic is still overpriced.

$1,473 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial thesis trader buys Yes

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L made a market-moving buy that was larger than the market’s recent activity, suggesting real conviction despite only a mid-level composite score.

This wallet has bet nearly $1.0M across 64 related markets and is up $56.5k overall
The $3.9k buy was bigger than the market’s recent trading volume and landed in a thin book with a 6.8% spread
Bought Yes at 62¢ after the market jumped 47.5 points in a day, showing they are pressing the move rather than fading it

$3,939 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

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Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?$25,155 tracked3 signalsTechMathBig TechRewards 20, 4.5, 50AI

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.