Part of: Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,155.
Categories: Tech, Math, Big Tech, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, AI
Notable Trades
3-wallet Anthropic surge
Three wallets piled nearly $20k into Anthropic Yes during a huge volume spike and helped push the market from the mid-50s to 90%, signaling strong coordinated conviction in a still relatively shallow book.
- Three wallets bought nearly $20k on the same side as volume jumped 139x and the price ran from 56¢ to 90¢
- One bettor has made 1,000 resolved bets and is up about $291k, giving this cluster at least one proven profitable participant
- The market only has about $10.5k of liquidity, so this size likely reflects real conviction rather than routine flow
$19,742 on Yes
Proven cross-market winner
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 620 resolved bets and a strong positive P&L is taking a fresh $1.5k position on No after a sharp market selloff, making this worth surfacing despite the modest single-trade size.
- This bettor has 620 resolved bets, wins 67% of the time, and is up about $258k lifetime.
- They have traded 124 markets across 71 related events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 61¢ after this market fell about 20 points in a week, signaling conviction that Anthropic is still overpriced.
$1,473 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Serial thesis trader buys Yes
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L made a market-moving buy that was larger than the market’s recent activity, suggesting real conviction despite only a mid-level composite score.
- This wallet has bet nearly $1.0M across 64 related markets and is up $56.5k overall
- The $3.9k buy was bigger than the market’s recent trading volume and landed in a thin book with a 6.8% spread
- Bought Yes at 62¢ after the market jumped 47.5 points in a day, showing they are pressing the move rather than fading it
$3,939 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x0042...321e — Outcome 95715550, $43,861 (47% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 95715550, $28,278
- 0x1851...ae47 — Outcome 95715550, $1,000
- 0x923c...fa1d — Outcome 95715550, $491
- 0x7845...417b — Outcome 95715550, $247 (76% win rate)
- 0x7595...872e — Outcome 51875415, $184
- 0xffd8...1a4d — Outcome 95715550, $160
- 0x30a0...a458 — Outcome 95715550, $160
- 0xc6b2...3caa — Outcome 51875415, $148
- 0xcba6...caa9 — Outcome 95715550, $128
Related Theses
US-Iran peace deal imminent
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Neither Fujimori nor Aliaga wins
Covers 2 related markets
