Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0

Sharp bettor flips bearish

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate is expressing a fresh bearish view on Paxton by selling Yes at 55¢, which translates to buying No at 45¢.

Total

$2,071

Trades

Win Rate

80%

Wallet P&L

+$637,076

Analysis

This bettor wins 80% of their trades across 1,049 resolved positions and is up about $616k lifetime
The trade effectively means buying No at 45¢, a fresh bearish bet after their earlier No position was already closed
Entry near 45¢ stands close to the current market and comes from a proven political trader with a large sample size

Copy Trade

Buy No at 45¢

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries

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Detected April 25, 2026 at 6:59 PM