95% win-rate political bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate bought No at 33¢ in a major UK politics market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
Total
$1,323
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$113,540
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of 1,498 resolved trades and is up $93.5k lifetime
- They trade across related event markets at scale: 89 events, 603 markets, and $224k tracked in this pattern
- Bought No at 33¢ while the market now implies 32¢, showing a clear bearish view on Starmer leaving office
Copy Trade
Buy No at 33¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 2:47 AM