Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Keir Starmer will stop being Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if he resigns, is removed, or an official announcement confirms his departure before the deadline, even if it takes effect later. The market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,136 in smart money activity with 1 smart money signal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,136.
Categories: Starmer, uk, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
74% win-rate political bettor
A high-volume political trader with a 74% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, making this worth tracking despite the modest size and single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 706 of 958 resolved markets and is up $122k overall.
- They effectively bought Yes at 53¢ by selling No, a meaningful stance in a near-even political market.
- This wallet has traded 210 related markets across 126 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading edge.
$2,136 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Yes, $80,183 (71% win rate)
- 0xce61...9381 — No, $34,315
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Yes, $23,688 (35% win rate)
- 0xdbf7...fbea — Yes, $19,833 (52% win rate)
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Yes, $19,679 (73% win rate)
- 0xf636...b088 — No, $19,555
- 0xf769...0114 — Yes, $14,117
- 0xe8ff...c93b — No, $13,625
- 0xdf70...5e92 — No, $12,577 (80% win rate)
- 0x5554...b17e — No, $12,174
