Sharp cross-market political bettor
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Yes after a sharp 32-point collapse, creating a credible mean-reversion or thesis-driven entry in a moderately active political market.
Total
$1,764
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$255,353
Analysis
- This bettor has won 68% of 1,309 resolved trades and is up about $230k overall.
- They bought after Yes fell 32 points beyond its prior range, entering at 21¢ while the market was sliding.
- This single $1.8k buy was bigger than the market's earlier 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a niche political market.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 21¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM