3-wallet Anthropic surge
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Three wallets piled nearly $20k into Anthropic Yes during a huge volume spike and helped push the market from the mid-50s to 90%, signaling strong coordinated conviction in a still relatively shallow book.
Total
$19,742
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets bought nearly $20k on the same side as volume jumped 139x and the price ran from 56¢ to 90¢
- One bettor has made 1,000 resolved bets and is up about $291k, giving this cluster at least one proven profitable participant
- The market only has about $10.5k of liquidity, so this size likely reflects real conviction rather than routine flow
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 89¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 4:08 PM