74% win-rate macro bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong long-term record bought No at 85¢, and the position is already marked up to 90¢.
Total
$1,295
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$156,276
Analysis
- This bettor has won 738 of 998 resolved trades and is up $153.8k overall.
- They trade across 234 markets in 148 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
- Bought No at 85¢ and the market is already at 90¢, showing early follow-through.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 6:50 AM