Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,295.
Categories: Epstein, Politics, Trump, Maxwell, Ghislaine Maxwell, Earn 4%
Notable Trades
74% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong long-term record bought No at 85¢, and the position is already marked up to 90¢.
- This bettor has won 738 of 998 resolved trades and is up $153.8k overall.
- They trade across 234 markets in 148 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
- Bought No at 85¢ and the market is already at 90¢, showing early follow-through.
$1,295 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x932f...2cd8 — Yes, $31,475
- 0x4d2c...063b — No, $20,679
- 0xd837...e931 — Yes, $14,004
- 0x74db...4ca5 — Yes, $14,000
- 0x951e...cd9c — No, $12,449
- 0x3e5b...073b — No, $12,161 (88% win rate)
- 0x8b71...8044 — No, $11,500 (89% win rate)
- 0xb48e...a144 — No, $10,006
- 0xaa2b...5b75 — No, $6,699
- 0x7a18...d1c9 — No, $5,000
