81% win-rate cross-market bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Surface this because a proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate across 1,456 resolved trades is buying into strong momentum on an active cross-market thesis.
Total
$1,600
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$5,526
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,456 resolved trades across 40 events, making them worth tracking despite the modest size here.
- They bought Yes at 80¢ after this market jumped 46 points in a day, suggesting they still see value even after the move.
- This is part of a broad 121-market pattern from a trader who has deployed over $634k across related event markets.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 80¢
Detected April 28, 2026 at 8:54 AM