11-wallet funded network
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An 11-wallet funded network with a highly profitable, high-volume trader is taking the Yes side on a plausible political departure market, though the individual bet size is modest.
Total
$1,044
Trades
1
Win Rate
52%
Wallet P&L
+$863,845
Analysis
- An 11-wallet funded network is buying the same Yes outcome, a stronger signal than a single account acting alone.
- The active wallet has traded $66M across resolved markets and is up about $864K lifetime.
- Entry at 18¢ implies a low-probability political outcome with roughly 5.6x upside if it resolves Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 18¢
Detected April 29, 2026 at 9:23 PM