Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,518.

Categories: World, Politics, Germany

Notable Trades

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$2,518 | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x55ba...16d1 Yes, $12,768
  2. 0xbeb9...aea6 Yes, $8,732
  3. 0xcd6b...68f5 No, $7,334 (49% win rate)
  4. 0xcb89...a2e8 No, $6,849 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x629b...995a No, $5,632 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x15d2...bc1a Yes, $4,680
  7. 0xa8c6...44e8 No, $3,495 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x5651...66a6 Yes, $3,491
  9. 0x224b...f6b8 Yes, $3,443
  10. 0xfe9e...00de No, $2,732

Related Theses

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

245d$2,518 tracked1 signalWorldPoliticsGermany
Yes
16¢
No
85¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Price History — “No
91¢
86¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

3h ago

$2,518

Related Theses