Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 69% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes at 17¢ on a geopolitical market showing recent upward momentum.
Total
$2,547
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$256,739
Analysis
- This bettor has won 69% of 405 resolved bets and is up $256K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 17¢, below the current 18% market price.
- The market has moved up 5.5 points in the past day, matching this trader’s direction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 17¢
Detected April 29, 2026 at 11:07 PM