91% win-rate macro trader
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No on a plausible macro market, though the stake is modest.
Total
$1,661
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$2,170,302
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up over $2.0M lifetime.
- They have traded across 305 markets and $22.7M invested, suggesting a long-running edge.
- Buying No at 81¢ means they are backing the view that no qualifying Fed cut happens by the July 2026 meeting.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 5:02 AM